Britain will be hit harder by the coronavirus crisis than any other European country, researchers have predicted, with the U.K. expected to see more than 60,000 deaths from COVID-19.
New research from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), published Monday with a correction issued on Tuesday, forecast a total of 151,000 deaths across Europe during the “first wave” of the pandemic, which scientists predict will end on August 4.
It compares to a total of 81,766 deaths expected to occur in the U.S. by the same date, according to IHME analysts.
The European analysis was based on data from various sources, including national and local governments, the WHO, and individual countries’ social-distancing policies.
For many countries, death tolls would be influenced by the demand for hospital resources being “well in excess of what it available,” researchers said.
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WNU Editor: British scientists are skeptical of these numbers …. New US model predicts much higher Covid-19 death toll in UK. But British scientists are skeptical (CNN).
Update: The UK recorded 881 more coronavirus deaths today, taking Britain’s total to 7,978 …. Britain suffers 881 more coronavirus deaths: Another grim tally for UK but toll fails to reach feared 1,000-a-day landmark as 4,344 new positive tests push total patient count to 65,077 (Daily Mail).